Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jul 1, 2027?

🗂 Part of event: Will the FDA approve CagriSema? →

84¢Yes

80% 1 pts all-time

Yes

84¢

16¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 84% chance — likely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 84% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJul 1, 2027 · 11mo

Total volume$987

Open interest$269

ListedMay 14, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jul 1, 2027 (11mo)

Resolution criteria

If the FDA approves CagriSema for marketing before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗