Will the FDA approve CagriSema before Jan 1, 2028?

🗂 Part of event: Will the FDA approve CagriSema? →

76¢Yes

78% 0 pts all-time

Yes

76¢

24¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 76% chance — likely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 76% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2028 · 1y

Total volume$966

Open interest$745

ListedMay 14, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2028 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the FDA approves CagriSema for marketing before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗