Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?

🗂 Part of event: Fed decision in Jan 2027? →

11¢Yes

9% 9 pts all-time

Yes

11¢

89¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 11% chance — very unlikely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 11% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 27, 2027 · 6mo

Total volume$886

Open interest$791

ListedSep 29, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 27, 2027 (6mo)

Resolution criteria

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗