Will Jack Smith be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

🗂 Part of event: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? →

31¢Yes

31% 5 pts all-time

Yes

31¢

69¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 31% chance — unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 31% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$52.7K

24h volume$533

Open interest$20.4K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If Jack Smith has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗