Next French presidential election winner?
🗂 Part of event: Next French presidential election winner? →38¢Marine Le Pen
7% 0 pts all-time
Marine Le Pen38%
Édouard Philippe24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
François Hollande9%
Gérald Darmanin6%
Bernard Cazeneuve6%
22 more45%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Marine Le Pen at about a 38% chance.
StatusOpen
ClosesMay 30, 2028 · 1y
Total volume$238K
24h volume$707
ListedJul 8, 2026
Source
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes May 30, 2028 (1y)
Resolution criteria
In 2027
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗