French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
🗂 Part of event: French socialist bloc presidential primary winner? →34¢Raphaël Glucksmann
+1 more
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💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Raphaël Glucksmann at about a 34% chance.
StatusOpen
ClosesOct 1, 2027 · 1y
Total volume$8.1K
ListedJul 10, 2026
SourceView on Kalshi ↗
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Oct 1, 2027 (1y)
Resolution criteria
in 2026
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗