Will Democratic win the House race for SC-04?

🗂 Part of event: SC-04 House winner? →

6¢Yes

5% 5 pts all-time

Yes

6¢

94¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesNov 3, 2027 · 1y

Total volume$965

Open interest$760

ListedJan 7, 2026

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Nov 3, 2027 (1y)

Resolution criteria

If the House member sworn in for SC-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

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