Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?

🗂 Part of event: Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? →

81¢Yes

82% 2 pts all-time

Yes

81¢

19¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 81% chance — likely.

✨ Ask about this market

🎯

Track your prediction

My predictions →

No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 81% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2040 · 13y

Total volume$168K

24h volume$209

Open interest$38.6K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…

How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2040 (13y)

Resolution criteria

If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗