Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

🗂 Part of event: Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? →

18¢Yes

14% 64 pts all-time

Yes

18¢

82¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 18% chance — unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 18% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2040 · 13y

Total volume$150K

24h volume$2.7K

Open interest$40.9K

Listed

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2040 (13y)

Resolution criteria

If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗