Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.3% in September 2026?

🗂 Part of event: How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? →

30¢Yes

64% 32 pts all-time

Yes

30¢

70¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 30% chance — unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 30% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 29, 2026 · 3mo

Total volume$257

Open interest$134

ListedNov 6, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Oct 29, 2026 (3mo)

Resolution criteria

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗