Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County
🗂 Part of event: Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 71% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 71% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the Supreme Court, in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County, rules that federal law precludes Boulder County and the City of Boulder’s state-law claims seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions’ effects on the global climate, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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