Will Selena Gomez release a new song before Oct 1, 2026?

🗂 Part of event: When will Selena Gomez release a new song? →

62¢Yes

66% 10 pts all-time

Yes

62¢

38¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 62% chance — more likely than not.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 62% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesOct 1, 2026 · 2mo

Total volume$1.7K

24h volume$4

Open interest$342

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Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Oct 1, 2026 (2mo)

Resolution criteria

If Selena Gomez releases a new song before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗