What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
🗂 Part of event: What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? →4¢Cuba
+2 more
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💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Cuba at about a 4% chance.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 20, 2029 · 2y
Total volume$1.6M
24h volume$1.1K
ListedMay 12, 2026
Source
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Closes Jan 20, 2029 (2y)
Resolution criteria
During Trump's term
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗