How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027?
🗂 Part of event: How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 53% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 53% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Tesla delivers more than 500000 vehicles in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Apple Announces AI Glasses by September 30, 2026
2 outcomes
Will Anthropic release its next Mythos-class model to the public by August 31, 2026?
Yes ≈ 46% chance