Will Sam Bankman-Fried be on UpOnly Podcast before Jan 2027?

🗂 Part of event: UpOnly podcast: Guests this year →

11¢Yes

2% 2 pts all-time

Yes

11¢

89¢

💡 What the odds say

The market puts this at about a 11% chance — very unlikely.

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No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 11% right now.

StatusOpen

ClosesJan 1, 2027 · 5mo

Total volume$2.2K

Open interest$792

ListedOct 21, 2025

Source

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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How it resolves

Regulated exchangeSettled by Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.

Closes Jan 1, 2027 (5mo)

Resolution criteria

If Sam Bankman-Fried is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.

View the official rules on Kalshi ↗