Will Leon Lawson advance in the 2026 WA-06 primary?
🗂 Part of event: WA-06 primary: who will advance? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 4% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 4% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Leon Lawson advances in the 2026 WA-06 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Despite ongoing regional tensions, the US is actively de-escalating, with President Trump holding off on strikes against Iran for the first time in two weeks, causing invasion odds to drop sharply.
Yes ≈ 20% chance