Will there be an expert-player-beating AI in EU4 by 2026?
14¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 14% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 14% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesOct 16, 2027 · 1y
Total volumeⱮ308
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Oct 16, 2027 (1y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
XO Market
Open
Apple Announces AI Glasses by September 30, 2026
Apple Does Not Announce AI Glasses62¢
2 outcomes
$2.1K Vol 0pts2mo
XO Market
Open
Will Anthropic release its next Mythos-class model to the public by August 31, 2026?
Yes46¢
No54¢
Yes ≈ 46% chance
$1.4K Vol 0pts1mo