Will Sam Altman be considered a grifter by 2030?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: YES at about a 52% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 52% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
On the 1st of January 2030, a poll will be launched with the question: "Is Sam Altman a grifter?" If the word "grifter" falls out of popular use by that time, the question will read: "Is Sam Altman a grifter (i.e. snake oil salesman, scam artist)"? The poll will be open for 1 month; if the majority of votes say "YES", this question will resolve to "YES", if not, it will resolve to "NO".
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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