Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 60% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump. This can be in 2024, 2028, or however long it takes for this to happen. If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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