How many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 1 at about a 43% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
The answer that matches the number of new justices appointed to the bench will resolve to YES at the end of the next presidential term. All other answers will resolve NO. Note: if a current justice is promoted to chief justice, that will not be considered a new appointment.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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