Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 56% chance — more likely than not.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Who will be the Republican Party's official nominee for the 2028 presidential election? Context: Vice President JD Vance and President Donald Trump are the two leading potential Republican candidates for 2028. Vance currently leads in primary polling, but Trump has not ruled out running despite constitutional term limits. Resolution: This market resolves to whichever candidate is officially nominated by the Republican Party at the 2028 Republican National Convention or through the formal RNC nomination process. If neither Vance nor Trump is nominated, the market resolves to "Other." Sources for verification: Republican National Committee official announcements 2028 Republican National Convention proceedings Major news outlets covering the nomination Official RNC website and press releases
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