On what dates will Rachel Reeves still be Chancellor of the Exchequer?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 2025-03-31 / 31st March 2025 at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Rachel Reeves is Chancellor AND has been so continuously since her appointment following the 2024 election. If she loses her job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO. Add more dates if you want more granularity.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗