Which prediction market events will I attend/speak at in 2026? (Read desc)
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Manifest (June, Berkeley) at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak. Context dump: I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X I already have Manifest tickets I am based in NYC Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works For meetups or casual events, the market can resolve YES if I attend and don’t speak.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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