Will Trump pardon himself?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
Across venues
· updated 3hPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 6%–50%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the average chance of Trump pardoning himself before 2027 is about 8%, but one play-money market shows a much higher 50%, likely because it uses fake currency and attracts different participants.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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