When will King Charles III die?
49¢2030 and later
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
2030 and later49%
202814%
202713%
202912%
202610%
20251%
1 more1%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 2030 and later at about a 49% chance — a coin toss.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 1, 2035 · 8y
Total volumeⱮ18.7K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 1, 2035 (8y)
Resolution criteria
Decided to make the market after today's news BBC News - King Charles III diagnosed with cancer, Buckingham Palace says https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68208157
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗