Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
20¢Yes
20% 1 pts all-time
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 20% chance — unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 20% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2028 · 2y
Total volumeⱮ4.1K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2028 (2y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes64¢
No36¢
Yes ≈ 64% chance
Ɱ14.3K Vol 4pts1y
Polymarket⚡ Moving fast
Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes22¢
No79¢
Yes ≈ 22% chance
$47.9M Vol 7pts5mo