Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
44¢Gadi Eisenkot
Price history builds as this market trades.
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Gadi Eisenkot44%
Naftali Bennet28%
Other16%
Benny Gantz3%
Yair Lapid3%
Avigdor Lieberman3%
10 more4%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Gadi Eisenkot at about a 44% chance.
StatusOpen
ClosesJan 28, 2030 · 3y
Total volumeⱮ7.9K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Jan 28, 2030 (3y)
Resolution criteria
Resolves when the first candidate who isn't Benjamin Netanyahu wins a vote of confidence in the Knesset to become Prime Minister.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗