Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Jim Chalmers at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential. An answer resolves YES on the day they become Prime Minister. Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become PM. I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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