Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election?
47¢Yes
47% 0 pts all-time
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 47% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 47% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 7, 2028 · 2y
Total volumeⱮ1.6K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Nov 7, 2028 (2y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes64¢
No36¢
Yes ≈ 64% chance
Ɱ14.3K Vol 4pts1y
Polymarket⚡ Moving fast
Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes22¢
No79¢
Yes ≈ 22% chance
$47.9M Vol 7pts5mo