Who will win the 2040 US Presidential elections?
86¢Other
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Other86%
There will not be a 2040 US presidential election4%
AI2%
Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez2%
Mr. Beast 1%
Destiny1%
10 more4%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 86% chance — very likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 4, 2040 · 14y
Total volumeⱮ3.5K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 4, 2040 (14y)
Resolution criteria
Feel free to add new entries
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗