When will Mitch McConnell retire?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Later at about a 42% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Mitch McConnell is the senate minority leader and has recently been having potential seizers. He is 81 but seems to be adament about not retiring.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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