Which party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
64¢Democrats
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Democrats64%
Republicans36%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Democrats at about a 64% chance — more likely than not.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 3, 2026 · 3mo
Total volumeⱮ5.1K
24h volumeⱮ4
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Nov 3, 2026 (3mo)
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the winner. Resolves on media reporting and official results. Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗