Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 41% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves YES to the named individual who holds the office of President on the morning of 1 Jan 2030. This question does not resolve to non-named individuals (e.g. descriptions of persons). Feel free to add full names to the above list. See also: @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-htqPnuht2Q (this question) @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-stCshgR2O2 @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-Q9Eng9RQyE @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-QCZs5nt5Ug @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-NC525n8PAz
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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