Will the Barbenheimer movie get 4.0 or more on IMDB?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 66% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 66% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Yes ≈ 70% chance
Highest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
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7 outcomes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Tomatometer 92%+ on July 31, 2026.
The market expects Spider-Man: Brand New Day to fall short of a 92% Tomatometer score, with the 'Below 92%' option commanding 69% despite recent positive buzz from cast interviews suggesting a strong fan reception; the single biggest recent shift is a 1-point drop in the Yes (≥92%) probability over 24 hours, potentially reflecting skepticism after mixed reviews for other Marvel projects like 'The Punisher: One Last Kill' (Rotten Tomatoes, May 12).
2 outcomes
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
The market is essentially flat with both listed candidates at 0% odds, but the biggest recent shift is the record-breaking performance of Christopher Nolan’s ‘The Odyssey’ in late July, which is not a market candidate — creating a glaring mismatch between box office reality and trader sentiment.
2 outcomes
When will Manifest 2026 have 10+ session videos available online?
6 outcomes
Will the documentary, "Instadocs: The prediction market games" be available on Netflix in July?
The market strongly expects the documentary to land on Netflix, but with no recent headlines to confirm progress, the high odds may reflect optimism rather than concrete evidence.
Yes ≈ 96% chance