How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 194+ (2016 result) at about a 96% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats. Based on consensus of credible reporting called races. Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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