Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?
74¢Texas 28th district
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Texas 28th district74%
Texas 34th district74%
Texas 35th district52%
Texas 15th District47%
Texas 32nd District32%
Texas 9th district29%
6 more80%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Texas 28th district at about a 74% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 3, 2026 · 3mo
Total volumeⱮ31.7K
24h volumeⱮ25
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Nov 3, 2026 (3mo)
Resolution criteria
Resolves according to if a Democrat or Democratic caucuser wins the districts general election in 2026. Resolves according to party identification/ who they caucus with.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗