In which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: June 2026 at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES for the listed month, if the gas average on: https://gasprices.aaa.com/ is at $4.000 or lower ON any day for that month. It does not have to end the month at $4.00 or below, or be there for the whole month. Just be below on any day for that month.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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