Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 9% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 9% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Despite ongoing regional tensions, the US is actively de-escalating, with President Trump holding off on strikes against Iran for the first time in two weeks, causing invasion odds to drop sharply.
Yes ≈ 20% chance