Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: The Democratic Party at about a 79% chance — likely.
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Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
This is a "vibes" market not a policy analysis market. So things that indicate a YES would be one party's leaders talking about the dangers of AI while the other party says we need to race to beat China, regardless of the actual contents of legislation, regulations, orders, etc. I should hope this will be obvious by market close. This market will not resolve early, nor be extended.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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