Who will win Nebraskas 1st House district in 2026?
73¢Republican- Mike Flood
Price history builds as this market trades.
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Republican- Mike Flood73%
Democratic- Chris Backemeyer13%
Austin Ahlman13%
Libertarian- Nik Sandman1%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Republican- Mike Flood at about a 73% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesNov 3, 2026 · 3mo
Total volumeⱮ3K
24h volumeⱮ3
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Nov 3, 2026 (3mo)
Resolution criteria
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Nebraska#District_1
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗