How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: More than 95 at about a 99% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
The Spanish general election will be held at some point before September of 2027. 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election. In the 2023 general election PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) got 121 seats. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Spanish_general_election Answers are independent and any number will be chosen.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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