🫏🐘 What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: If Trump wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Rules (work in progress) If Trump wins, all the 'If Biden Wins' options will be NAed, and visa versa If Trump wins, all the 'Biden will win' options will be resolved NO, and visa versa If Trump or Biden die, their options will be NAed or changed to 'if Dems win' / 'if Reps win' depending on my judgement
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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