What will be true about the person who creates AGI?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator at about a 90% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person. If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company. If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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