What is Manifold's Yield Curve?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Resolves NO in 2150 at about a 3% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Each answer resolves NO on January 1 in the year indicated. This market is intended to benchmark long-duration bets and measure the "price of money" on Manifold. Additional dates may be added as necessary.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
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2 outcomes