Will a comedian win the presidential nomination from either major US political party by 2040?
73¢Yes
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Yes
73¢
No
28¢
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 73% chance — likely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 73% right now.
StatusOpen
ClosesSep 2, 2040 · 14y
Total volumeⱮ142
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Sep 2, 2040 (14y)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗