When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
50¢Other
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Other50%
2027 Jul-Dec7%
2030 Jul-Dec6%
2026 Jul-Dec6%
2027 Jan-Jun6%
2028 Jan-Jun5%
10 more21%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
StatusOpen
ClosesOct 1, 2200 · —
Total volumeⱮ17.2K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…
How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Oct 1, 2200 (—)
Resolution criteria
Resolves according to resolution of the corresponding Metaculus question. Half year granularity.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Manifold· Play
Open
Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election?
Yes61¢
No39¢
Yes ≈ 61% chance
Ɱ14.3K Vol 1pts1y
Polymarket⚡ Moving fast
Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes22¢
No79¢
Yes ≈ 22% chance
$47.9M Vol 7pts5mo