Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 13,000 at the end of 2026?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Will the S&P/NZX 50 exceed 12,500.00 at Dec 31 Market close? at about a 82% chance — likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENZ50/ Resolves according to yahoo finance. Resolves based on closing price on Dec 31 2026 Exceed= means above. So to exceed 13,000.00 means a close price of 13,000.01 or higher is required. The index is designed to measure the performance of the 50 largest, eligible stocks listed on the Main Board (NZSX) of the NZX by float-adjusted market capitalization. Representative, liquid, and investable, it is widely considered New Zealand’s preeminent benchmark index. The index is float-adjusted, covering approximately 90% of New Zealand equity market capitalization.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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