Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 [Polymarket]
74¢S&P 500
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
S&P 50074%
Gold17%
Bitcoin9%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: S&P 500 at about a 74% chance — likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ1.4K
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)
Resolution criteria
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-vs-gold-vs-sp-500-in-2026.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Futuur
Open
Next target for the US interest rate (July)
Maintain the same rate80¢
4 outcomes
$2.1K Vol 4pts2d