What will the top two parties be in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
93¢Reform, Count Binface
Price history builds as this market trades.
No price history yet
Reform, Count Binface93%
Other6%
Reform, Reclaim1%
Reform, Conservatives0%
Reform, Green0%
Reform, Labour0%
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Reform, Count Binface at about a 93% chance — very likely.
StatusOpen
ClosesDec 31, 2026 · 5mo
Total volumeⱮ3.1K
24h volumeⱮ4
Liquidity
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Creator-resolvedSettled by the market's creator
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (5mo)
Resolution criteria
Resolves N/A if there is no by-election. Order doesn't matter, just if they're both in the top two.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗