How many living presidents will there be when Joe Biden dies? 👨🏻🦳🇺🇸💀
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: 4 (or fewer) at about a 67% chance — likely.
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Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
At the time of Joe Biden’s death (so not counting Joe), how many US presidents, current and former, will be alive? Here’s a list of the 6 current living presidents. Market will extend as needed.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗